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FAQs: The Cost of UK Wildfire per Hectare

Fire

These frequently asked questions are taken from the research paper: Cost of UK Wildfires per Hectare: Methods and Estimates.



What factors are considered when estimating the cost of a UK wildfire per hectare?


Estimating the cost of a wildfire per hectare in the UK involves assessing a range of expenses and losses. This includes:


  • the immediate costs of emergency response (firefighting crews, equipment, overtime)

  • environmental damage (carbon emissions from burning vegetation, particularly peatlands; soil degradation; biodiversity loss)

  • damage to infrastructure and property (buildings, utilities, fences, farm assets)

  • the loss of ecosystem services (water quality impacts, loss of grazing land, timber value, tourism income)

  • post-fire recovery and restoration efforts (erosion control, replanting, peatland rewetting)

  • various indirect and long-term costs (insurance payouts, health impacts from smoke, business disruption from road closures).


Government agencies often focus on direct response and property damage, while academic studies and NGOs tend to include broader environmental and societal costs.


How do methodologies for estimating wildfire costs differ among UK organizations?


Methodologies vary depending on the organization's focus. UK government bodies and agencies, such as Defra and the Home Office, typically sum direct expenditures like emergency response costs and immediate damages, then divide by the burned area. Their focus is often on tangible, quantifiable costs.


Academic research, exemplified by studies at the University of Manchester, uses broader frameworks that include environmental and health impacts, employing methods like cost-benefit analysis and economic valuation of ecosystem services to capture a more comprehensive per-hectare cost.


Groups like the Forestry Commission and Natural England emphasize ecosystem losses (carbon, habitat) by monetizing environmental impacts, while the insurance sector (e.g., NFU Mutual) focuses on property and agricultural losses using historical data and value-at-risk models.


What are the main categories of costs included in UK wildfire assessments?


Wildfire cost assessments in the UK typically include:


  • Emergency Response Costs: Expenses for firefighting operations (personnel, equipment, aircraft).

  • Environmental Damage: Costs associated with carbon release, soil degradation, and biodiversity loss, often monetized (e.g., carbon pricing, restoration costs).

  • Infrastructure and Property Damage: Costs to repair or replace buildings, utilities, fences, and farm infrastructure.

  • Lost Ecosystem Services: Economic value lost from natural landscape functions, such as water filtration, grazing land, timber production, and tourism.

  • Post-Fire Recovery and Restoration: Expenses for efforts like erosion control, reseeding, replanting, and rewetting peatlands to help the landscape recover.

  • Indirect and Long-Term Costs: Wider economic impacts such as insurance payouts, health costs from smoke exposure, and business disruption.


How did the estimated cost per hectare vary in major UK wildfires like Saddleworth Moor, Marsden Moor, and Cannich?


The cost per hectare varied significantly based on the fire's characteristics and location. The Saddleworth Moor fire (2018) in deep peat moorland near populated areas had an estimated cost of roughly £9,000/ha based on land management estimates (including firefighting and environmental damage), but rose to over £20,000/ha when factoring in health impacts.


The Marsden Moor fire (2019) had a lower estimated initial cost of about £700/ha for immediate damage and response on shallower peat, although the long-term environmental cost was higher.


The Cannich wildfire (2023) in a remote area of Scotland, despite being the largest in recent history by area, likely had a lower cost density, estimated around £500-£2,000/ha, due to its remote location and less infrastructure/population density, with costs primarily from firefighting and environmental damage to conservation land.


Why do peatland wildfires often have higher estimated costs per hectare?


Wildfires in peatlands often have significantly higher estimated costs per hectare primarily due to the substantial environmental damage they cause, particularly the release of stored carbon. Peatlands are major carbon sinks, and burning deep peat releases large quantities of CO₂, which can be monetized using carbon pricing, adding millions of pounds to the cost (as seen in the Saddleworth fire).


Peatland fires also destroy valuable and slow-recovering habitats for rare species and can take decades or centuries to fully recover, requiring expensive and lengthy restoration efforts that contribute significantly to the per-hectare cost. The prolonged nature of peat fires can also lead to extended and costly firefighting operations.


What is the estimated range of wildfire costs per hectare in the UK under 2025 conditions, according to the source?


The source estimates a range of wildfire costs per hectare for the UK under 2025 conditions:


  • Low-End Estimate: ~£500-£1,000 per hectare, typical for small, quickly controlled fires in lighter fuels like grass or stubble with minimal environmental or property impact.

  • Mid-Range Estimate: ~£5,000-£10,000 per hectare, representing a typical serious wildfire in upland areas (heather moor, degraded peatland) burning for several days with significant firefighting effort and environmental loss but limited property damage.

  • High-End Estimate: ~£20,000+ per hectare, applicable to worst-case scenarios like deep peat blazes or fires at the wildland-urban interface under extreme weather, involving protracted firefighting, major carbon emissions, potential property destruction, health impacts, and extensive long-term restoration.


How might national nuances across the UK influence the typical cost per hectare?


National nuances across the UK influence the typical cost per hectare due to variations in landscape, population density, and fire types. In England, fires closer to settlements (lower moors, heathland) can have higher per-hectare costs due to proximity to people and assets, leading to higher firefighting deployments and property value at risk.


Scotland experiences very large fires in remote peatlands; while extensive, the lack of nearby properties keeps the per-hectare cost somewhat moderated compared to densely populated areas, with costs focusing on environmental damage and firefighting.

Wales and Northern Ireland frequently see smaller, patchy grass and bog fires; individually, these may have lower average per-hectare costs, but their cumulative annual cost to fire services is significant.


Why does the source emphasize prevention and preparedness based on wildfire cost estimates?


The source emphasizes the value of prevention and preparedness based on wildfire cost estimates because even expensive up-front investments in land management are often justified when compared to the very high per-hectare costs of uncontrolled wildfires.

The significant costs associated with emergency response, environmental damage, lost ecosystem services, recovery, and indirect impacts for even mid-range fires, and especially high-end fires, far outweigh the costs of proactive measures.


Strategies like controlled burning, grazing to reduce fuel loads, and peatland rewetting, while potentially costly in themselves, are presented as cost-effective ways to reduce the likelihood and severity of wildfires, thereby avoiding the much larger economic and environmental damage costs highlighted by the per-hectare estimates.


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